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| Tags: impossibility, yep |
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#191
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Hi,
I have a bad feeling about the LHC experiment. Anyone else feeling the same thing? Any possibility of the world being blown out by a blackhole created in a lab expt?? ScI-KO |
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#192
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Dear VTNAME:
"VTNAME" wrote in message ... Hi, I have a bad feeling about the LHC experiment. Anyone else feeling the same thing? Any possibility of the world being blown out by a blackhole created in a lab expt?? We can "Chicken Little" about anything. If GR is right, then the black holes, if produced, must evaporate in microseconds. If GR is jewish crap, no black holes will form. I'd worry more about the black stuff under my fingernails... David A. Smith |
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#193
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On Sat, 3 May 2008 19:25:25 -0400, "VTNAME" wrote:
Hi, I have a bad feeling about the LHC experiment. Anyone else feeling the same thing? Any possibility of the world being blown out by a blackhole created in a lab expt?? Rest easy. There is mo possibility of the world being blown up. Black holes created by proton collisions would decay very rapidly into a burst of radiation. What they're really trying to do is to determine the shape of extra spatial dimensions which could help us to understand more about the early moments of the formation of our universe. Read this: http://www.livescience.com/environme...ack_holes.html "It is far better to grasp the Universe as it really is than to persist in delusion, however satisfying and reassuring." - Carl Sagan |
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#194
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This message is brought to you by Androcles
http://www.androcles01.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk/ "VTNAME" wrote in message ... | Hi, | | I have a bad feeling about the LHC experiment. | Anyone else feeling the same thing? No, cretin. Fear of the evil eye never troubled me. |
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#195
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VTNAME wrote:
Hi, I have a bad feeling about the LHC experiment. Anyone else feeling the same thing? Any possibility of the world being blown out by a blackhole created in a lab expt?? There is about as much chance of the LHC destroying Earth as there is of cdesign proponetsists coming up with an actual Theory of Intelligent Design. IOW, so freaking low it might as well be zero. |
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#196
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On May 1, 9:42*am, Harold Saxon wrote:
On 5 Apr, 15:07, "adman" wrote: *Roger Penrose , a man with impressive edcuation, and an impressive career. Shows how impossible it is for the universe, earth and manking to form itself after a big bang explosion. Actually he merely showed how improbable it was, and there is a world of difference between impossible and improbable. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roger_Penrose The calculations of British mathematician Roger Penrose show that the probability of universe conducive to life occurring by chance is in 10 to the10.123. The phrase "extremely unlikely" is inadequate to describe this possibility. Roger Penrose*, a famous British mathematician and a close friend of Stephen Hawking, wondered about this question and tried to calculate the probability. Including what he considered to be all variables required for human beings to exist and live on a planet such as ours, he computed the probability of this environment occurring among all the possible results of the Big Bang. According to Penrose, the odds against such an occurrence were on the order of 1010123 to 1. It is hard even to imagine what this number means. In math, the value 10123 means 1 followed by 123 zeros. (This is, by the way, more than the total number of atoms 1078 believed to exist in the whole universe.) But Penrose's answer is vastly more than this: It requires 1 followed by 10123 zeros. Or consider: 103 means 1,000, a thousand. 10103 is a number that that has 1 followed by 1000 zeros. If there are six zeros, it's called a million; if nine, a billion; if twelve, a trillion and so on. There is not even a name for a number that has 1 followed by 10123 zeros. In practical terms, in mathematics, a probability of 1 in 1050 means "zero probability". That looks to me like a deliberate distortion of an assertion into a fact. Who is supposed to have worked this out? Penrose's number is more than trillion trillion trillion times less than that. In short, Penrose's number tells us that the 'accidental" or "coincidental" creation of our universe is an impossibility. Concerning this mind-boggling number Roger Penrose comments: This now tells how precise the Creator's aim must have been, namely to an accuracy of one part in 1010123. This is an extraordinary figure. One could not possibly even write the number down in full in the ordinary denary notation: it would be 1 followed by 10123 successive 0's. Even if we were to write a 0 on each separate proton and on each separate neutron in the entire universe- and we could throw in all the other particles for good measure- we should fall far short of writing down the figure needed. http://www.faizani.com/news/news_200...ssibility.html If something has happened, no matter how improbable the odds were, there is no point going around claiming it is impossible. While I'm inclined to the 'this is a meaningless question' view in the article Craig T cites, the argument as presented is obviously false. Penrose did not make his calculation including a Creator, so the improbability *increases* by adding that variable to the phase space. -tg |
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#197
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"VTNAME" wrote in message ... Hi, I have a bad feeling about the LHC experiment. Anyone else feeling the same thing? You might want to check out: http://www.risk-evaluation-forum.org/index.htm |
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#198
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"Onoit" wrote in message news:HIednVpoHfRAGYLVnZ2dnUVZ_h2pnZ2d@internetamer ica... "VTNAME" wrote in message ... Hi, I have a bad feeling about the LHC experiment. Anyone else feeling the same thing? You might want to check out: http://www.risk-evaluation-forum.org/index.htm yeah.... seems lik epistemic uncertainity risk analysis hasnt been done yet... epistemic uncertainity is d uncertainity due 2 d lack of knowledge... |
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#199
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On May 1, 9:42*am, Harold Saxon wrote:
On 5 Apr, 15:07, "adman" wrote: *Roger Penrose , a man with impressive edcuation, and an impressive career. Shows how impossible it is for the universe, earth and manking to form itself after a big bang explosion. Actually he merely showed how improbable it was, and there is a world of difference between impossible and improbable. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roger_Penrose The calculations of British mathematician Roger Penrose show that the probability of universe conducive to life occurring by chance is in 10 to the10.123. The phrase "extremely unlikely" is inadequate to describe this possibility. Roger Penrose*, a famous British mathematician and a close friend of Stephen Hawking, wondered about this question and tried to calculate the probability. Including what he considered to be all variables required for human beings to exist and live on a planet such as ours, he computed the probability of this environment occurring among all the possible results of the Big Bang. According to Penrose, the odds against such an occurrence were on the order of 1010123 to 1. It is hard even to imagine what this number means. In math, the value 10123 means 1 followed by 123 zeros. (This is, by the way, more than the total number of atoms 1078 believed to exist in the whole universe.) But Penrose's answer is vastly more than this: It requires 1 followed by 10123 zeros. Or consider: 103 means 1,000, a thousand. 10103 is a number that that has 1 followed by 1000 zeros. If there are six zeros, it's called a million; if nine, a billion; if twelve, a trillion and so on. There is not even a name for a number that has 1 followed by 10123 zeros. In practical terms, in mathematics, a probability of 1 in 1050 means "zero probability". That looks to me like a deliberate distortion of an assertion into a fact. Who is supposed to have worked this out? Penrose's number is more than trillion trillion trillion times less than that. In short, Penrose's number tells us that the 'accidental" or "coincidental" creation of our universe is an impossibility. Concerning this mind-boggling number Roger Penrose comments: This now tells how precise the Creator's aim must have been, namely to an accuracy of one part in 1010123. This is an extraordinary figure. One could not possibly even write the number down in full in the ordinary denary notation: it would be 1 followed by 10123 successive 0's. Even if we were to write a 0 on each separate proton and on each separate neutron in the entire universe- and we could throw in all the other particles for good measure- we should fall far short of writing down the figure needed. http://www.faizani.com/news/news_200...ssibility.html If something has happened, no matter how improbable the odds were, there is no point going around claiming it is impossible.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - The probability of this universe forming by chance is 1 in 10^10^123. Ok, let's not argue with that. Let's say we hold a billion people random raffle. The raffle is drawn and Judy wins. But you point out, the "probability of Judy winning by chance is 1 in 1 billion. There's no way she could've won a random raffle draw. She must have cheated and rigged the draw." See the problem? The odds of ANY person winning is also a billion to one. If anyone else had one, you could've made the same argument and accused anyone of cheating. But the truth is, so long as the raffle was drawn, the probability that somebody will win is 100% guaranteed. Somebody MUST win. Judy, simply lucked out. So let's say that our universe participated in the cosmic raffle. So did many other universes. Universe A has more stars than us and twice as many galaxies. Universe B has more pulsars and less planets. Universe C has purple planets with pink rings. etc. The cosmic raffle is drawn. Each of these universes (including ours) has an equal chance of winning (1 in 10^10^123). Even so, when the raffle is drawn, one of these universes MUST win, even if its chances were small. The chance of this is 100% guaranteed. So, as you can see, somebody had to have won. Judy simply lucked out. Somebody had to have won the cosmic raffle as well. Our universe simply lucked out. Both raffles were completely random. It's a logic fallacy to claim that the odds of the resulting winner is small, thus she cheated and rigged/designed the raffle. It's a Texas sharpshooter fallacy. |
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#200
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On Sat, 3 May 2008 19:45:48 -0700, "N:dlzc D:aol T:com \(dlzc\)"
wrote: Dear VTNAME: "VTNAME" wrote in message ... Hi, I have a bad feeling about the LHC experiment. Anyone else feeling the same thing? Any possibility of the world being blown out by a blackhole created in a lab expt?? We can "Chicken Little" about anything. If GR is right, then the black holes, if produced, must evaporate in microseconds. Typo? I think you probably meant to say, : If QM is right, then the black holes, if produced, must evaporate ^^^ : in microseconds. Have a Nice Day, =Erk= (Eric Baird) www.relativitybook.com |
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