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"SolomonW" wrote in message
news:MPG.2262c41bbe7d6c989896c8@news...
| In article ,
|
ics says...
| Subject: Yep, it is an impossibility!
| From: Androcles
| Newsgroups: alt.sci.physics.new-theories, sci.physics.relativity,
alt.atheism
|
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| "jablair" wrote in message
|
...
| On Apr 5, 10:07 am, "adman" wrote:
| Roger Penrose , a man with impressive edcuation, and an impressive
career.
| Shows how impossible it is for the universe, earth and manking to form
| itself after a big bang explosion.
|
|
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roger_Penrose
|
| The calculations of British mathematician Roger Penrose show that the
| probability of universe conducive to life occurring by chance is in 10
to
| the10.123. The phrase "extremely unlikely" is inadequate to describe
this
| possibility.
|
| Roger Penrose*, a famous British mathematician and a close friend of
| Stephen
| Hawking, wondered about this question and tried to calculate the
| probability. Including what he considered to be all variables required
for
| human beings to exist and live on a planet such as ours, he computed
the
| probability of this environment occurring among all the possible
results
| of
| the Big Bang.
|
| According to Penrose, the odds against such an occurrence were on the
| order
| of 1010123 to 1.
| It is hard even to imagine what this number means. In math, the value
| 10123
| means 1 followed by 123 zeros. (This is, by the way, more than the
total
| number of atoms 1078 believed to exist in the whole universe.) But
| Penrose's
| answer is vastly more than this: It requires 1 followed by 10123
zeros.
|
| Or consider: 103 means 1,000, a thousand. 10103 is a number that that
has
| 1
| followed by 1000 zeros. If there are six zeros, it's called a million;
if
| nine, a billion; if twelve, a trillion and so on. There is not even a
name
| for a number that has 1 followed by 10123 zeros.
|
| In practical terms, in mathematics, a probability of 1 in 1050 means
"zero
| probability". Penrose's number is more than trillion trillion trillion
| times
| less than that. In short, Penrose's number tells us that the
'accidental"
| or
| "coincidental" creation of our universe is an impossibility.
|
|
| | Penrose later went on to calculate the probabilty that he would be
| | born at the exact time and exact place to the exact mother and exact
| | father from the exact egg and exact sperm then promptly vanished into
| | a cloud of smoke...
|
|
| Exactly. Calculating the probability of an event when it already
| has a probability of 1 is the ultimate absurdity.
|
|
|
| It is often done read up on bayesian probability.
People often kill themselves driving recklessly.
Does "often" make it sane, ****head?